Tomorrow’s Regional competitions are going to be intense. It is one of the biggest races of the year and will determine who will make it to NCAAs or not.
The general race information – Penn and Princeton will be racing in the Mid-Atlantic Regional races in State College, Penn. (hosted by Penn State). Meanwhile, the rest of the conference will be racing at the Northeast Regional at the legendary Van Cortlandt Park in Bronx, N.Y. For both locations, the women start their 6km race at noon, with the men following in the 10km at 1pm.
Last year, the Ivy League had a record haul in terms of NCAA qualifiers (4 men teams, 3 women teams, 45 undergraduate and 2 graduate athletes). Some of these teams and athletes were initially not really in NCAA qualifying contention until they pulled out all of the stops and had great races at their respective Regional competitions.
Are we going to break our qualifying record again this year? Probably not. But are we going to get some Ivy representation in Terre Haute next weekend, I’d say the odds are heavily in our favor.
According to various qualifying projection polls (USTFCCCA Regional Rankings [men and women], Butler Projections, Kolas Calculator), the only Ivy team that was on each of their qualification lists were the #22 Dartmouth women (some polls think they’d qualify by earning one of the top 2 auto spots, others think they would be an at large bid). The #28 Princeton women were listed as potentially qualifying in the Butler Projections by earning an at large bid, while the other two polls I have listed show them as one of the first teams that miss the cut. The Princeton men are also discussed in all three polls, but each of the polls suggest that the Princeton men would need to earn a top 2 team finish in order to send the team back to NCAAs as they would not have earned enough points to qualify for an at-large bid. UPDATE: Flotrack has released their predictions for both the team and individual qualifiers for each region earlier this afternoon. Flotrack sees 7 men and 4 women earn individual berths and 1 Ivy team securing a spot for NCAAs.
But hey, those are all predictions from modelling programs or personal preferences. And like any kind of model (including fashion models and the modelling programs I use in my paying job), they do not always represent reality, no matter how hard you try. And preferences can be biased. The only way to really know is to run the race.
We will know tomorrow afternoon on who has qualified, both in terms of teams and individuals.
Flotrack will be offering a free live webstream tomorrow that will cover the Regional competitions and updating their Kolas Calculator with the Regional results. Yes, I said free. The webstream will be live at 11am EST, and can be viewed here. We are expecting a lot of people to tune in so try to tune in early to secure the bandwidth. We will do our best to try and spread out word of the Ivy results at the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic Regional competitions on facebook and twitter as soon as we hear them.
Thinking of watching the meet in person? Great! If you have a smartphone with twitter or facebook, share any race updates, photos, or videos of the races with the rest of HepsNation – on twitter, send it to @HepsTrack and use the hashtag #RegionalsXC; on facebook, post it on either the HepsNation page or the HepsTrack group and use the hashtag #RegionalsXC. We will share whatever we get in to the rest of the masses.
Now to all competitors, if I may quote President Snow, may the odds be ever in your favor.