Continuing An Increasing Trend?

ht-hodges-stadium

According to the statistics program I use at work, you need at least four rounds of data in order to accurately define a trend as “increasing”, “decreasing”, or “stable”.  Based on this definition, we could say that we have witnessed an increasing trend of NCAA qualifiers since the Preliminary Round system started in 2010.

In the final round of Regional format in 2009 (where top 6 in a given event got automatic berths, while remaining athletes would cross their fingers or pray to earn an at-large berth), a total of 23 Ivies qualified for NCAAs.

In the new Preliminary Round format, the NCAA qualifier tallies were the following:

2010 – 23 individual qualifiers (1 double);

2011 – 18 individuals (2 doubles) and 1 relay qualifiers;

2012 – 21 undergraduates and 1 graduate qualifiers;

2013  – 27 individual undergraduates (1 double), 2 relays, and 2 graduate qualifiers (for a total of 32 entries);

Last year – 31 undergraduates (1 double) and 3 graduates qualifiers (for a total of 35 entries).

Question is, will this increasing trend continue in 2015?  It’s possible.

Preliminary Round action will begin at noon on Thursday at the Hodges Stadium at the University of North Florida in Jacksonville, Fla.  Each event has a slightly different procedure in qualification for later rounds:

  • The sprints (up to 800m) and both hurdle events will have 6 heats in the first rounds over the course of Day 1 and Day 2 (see schedules for exact dates).  The top 3 in each heat and the next 9 fastest qualify for the quarterfinals, which will be held on Days 2 and 3.  The quarterfinals will have 3 heats, where the top 3 and next 3 fastest get to move on to the semifinals at Oregon.
  • The 1,500m trials will have 4 heats on Day 1.  The top 5 and the next 4 fastest qualify for the quarterfinals on Day 3.  In the 2 heat quarterfinal round, the top 5 and next 2 fastest get to move on to the semifinals at Oregon.
  • The steeplechase and relays will just have one round.  There will be 3 heats, where the top 3 and next 3 fastest qualify for the semifinals at Oregon.  The steeplechase will be held on Day 2 while the relays will be run on Day 3.
  • The 5,000m heats on Day 3  will act as the National semifinal.  There will be 2 heats, where the top 5 and next 2 fastest qualify for the finals at Oregon.
  • The single 10,000m heat on Day 1 will act as the National semifinal.  The top 12 will qualify for the finals at Oregon.
  • The vertical jumps will follow the five-alive format (details on the start listing) until the top 12 competitors remain.  These top 12 will have qualified for the finals at Oregon.
  • The horizontal jumps and throwing events will each have 4 flights that make up the trial round.  Each athlete will only get 3 attempts, and the top 12 performances after those 3 attempts will qualify for the semifinals at Oregon.

We’ve also linked up to the start lists in our meet schedule below.  Live Results will be available through ncaa.com.  Unfortunately, there will not be a webstream available for this meet.  We will provide a recap after each day of action to share who has advanced.  Good luck to all athletes!

Thursday

12:00 PM – Men’s Hammer  (First Round)
12:00 PM – Women’s Javelin  (First Round)
3:30 PM – Women’s Shot Put  (First Round)
4:30 PM – Women’s Pole Vault  (First Round)
4:30 PM – Women’s 400 Hurdles  (First Round)
5:00 PM – Men’s 400 Hurdles  (First Round)
5:30 PM – Women’s 1500 Meters  (First Round)
6:00 PM – Men’s 1500 Meters  (First Round)
6:30 PM – Women’s 100 Meters  (First Round)
6:55 PM – Men’s 100 Meters  (First Round)
7:00 PM – Men’s Long Jump  (First Round)
7:20 PM – Women’s 400 Meters  (First Round)
7:45 PM – Men’s 400 Meters  (First Round)
8:10 PM – Women’s 800 Meters  (First Round)
8:35 PM – Men’s 800 Meters  (First Round)
9:00 PM – Women’s 10,000 Meters  (Semifinal)
9:40 PM – Men’s 10,000 Meters  (Semifinal)

Friday

12:00 PM – Women’s Discus  (First Round)
12:00 PM – Men’s Javelin  (First Round)
4:00 PM – Men’s Discus  (First Round)
4:30 PM – Men’s Pole Vault  (First Round)
5:00 PM – Men’s High Jump  (First Round)
5:00 PM – Women’s 100 Hurdles  (First Round)
5:30 PM – Men’s 110 Hurdles  (First Round)
6:00 PM – Women’s 400 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
6:15 PM – Men’s 400 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
6:30 PM – Women’s 100 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
6:45 PM – Men’s 100 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:00 PM – Women’s 800 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:00 PM – Women’s Long Jump  (First Round)
7:15 PM – Men’s 800 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:30 PM – Women’s 400 Hurdles  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:45 PM – Men’s 400 Hurdles  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
8:00 PM – Women’s 200 Meters  (First Round)
8:25 PM – Men’s 200 Meters  (First Round)
8:50 PM – Women’s 3000 Steeplechase  (Quarterfinal)
9:30 PM – Men’s 3000 Steeplechase  (Quarterfinal)

Saturday

1:30 PM – Women’s Hammer  (First Round)
4:00 PM – Women’s Triple Jump  (First Round)
5:00 PM – Men’s Shot Put  (First Round)
6:00 PM – Women’s High Jump  (First Round)
6:00 PM – Women’s 4×100 Relay  (Quarterfinal)
6:15 PM – Men’s 4×100 Relay  (Quarterfinal)
6:30 PM – Women’s 1500 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
6:45 PM – Men’s 1500 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:00 PM – Men’s Triple Jump  (First Round)
7:05 PM – Women’s 100 Hurdles  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:20 PM – Men’s 110 Hurdles  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:35 PM – Women’s 200 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
7:50 PM – Men’s 200 Meters  (Quarterfinal) qualifiers to come
8:05 PM – Women’s 5000 Meters  (Semifinal)
8:45 PM – Men’s 5000 Meters  (Semifinal)
9:25 PM – Women’s 4×400 Relay  (Quarterfinal)
9:45 PM – Men’s 4×400 Relay  (Quarterfinal)

University of North Florida photo

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